QUOTE (Tor @ Mar 1 2008, 06:47 AM)

According to my work, there should be a decent sell off in silver from current levels.
Currently 20 USD, but should correct down to 17.5 USD.
Bull trend can remain in place basis these levels. I am thinking in terms of parabola basis a dollar collapse to 40 in due course.
Howdy Tor,
Hey, gold and silver both are looking huge overbought, but I'll wait for them to crack before I lighten up. The gold/silver ratio's dropped from 53 to 1 to 49 to 1 in a week or so and from the beginning of last year it's down from over 70 to 1. The historic ratio is 15-20 to 1 and indeed, at the peak of the last bull market in 1980 gold topped at $850 and silver at $50 . . . or 17 to 1.
However, I had expected this historic relationship to resolve itself later in the big bull market - in a few years when things are really starting to get nuts - like gold north of $2000 or $3000 and silver pushing $100. But, gee, I'm long so if the market wants to pay me now, who am I to doubt the wisdom of the market?
But, I am expected a seasonal pull back for both gold and silver starting sometime this spring and lasting thru summer. I'm just not sure when.
Most importatly, I am NOT going to anticipate a pull back and pull off my trades. Folks, we're in the sweet spot of the market right now. These are the times we live for - don't question, don't doubt, just get your *ss long and ride this sucker.
peace,
rono